Description

This analysis provides a forecast of OP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-05-11 0.337935 0.448306 0.569535 0.710452 0.867849 1.036599 1.229645
2025-05-18 0.184771 0.325590 0.500174 0.721545 0.985904 1.284379 1.640497
2025-05-25 0.092129 0.226819 0.416027 0.674557 0.999347 1.379409 1.845336
2025-06-01 0.036479 0.151767 0.342546 0.625048 0.997654 1.447784 2.012395
2025-06-08 0.011838 0.107853 0.299358 0.604503 1.023322 1.541790 2.203151
2025-06-15 0.003133 0.086460 0.284958 0.619519 1.091717 1.685885 2.452118
2025-06-22 NaN 0.062399 0.258259 0.611755 1.126569 1.785847 2.645832
2025-06-29 NaN 0.040955 0.227953 0.593459 1.143751 1.861129 2.807537
2025-07-06 NaN 0.035806 0.231502 0.628296 1.234246 2.030030 3.084711
2025-07-13 NaN 0.032961 0.239709 0.670477 1.335017 2.212278 3.378666
2025-07-20 NaN 0.029432 0.244793 0.706908 1.427412 2.383641 3.659188
2025-07-27 NaN 0.030828 0.264239 0.768291 1.555950 2.602480 3.999439
2025-08-03 NaN 0.027380 0.269881 0.808727 1.659102 2.794491 4.314561
2025-08-10 NaN 0.019575 0.258259 0.818243 1.717931 2.929648 4.560412
2025-08-17 NaN 0.007484 0.216790 0.768611 1.686629 2.943432 4.651296
2025-08-24 NaN 0.001108 0.177081 0.715351 1.645917 2.942010 4.720827
2025-08-31 NaN NaN 0.155223 0.693326 1.650202 2.999152 4.863203
2025-09-07 NaN NaN 0.151718 0.709447 1.713665 3.136752 5.108981
2025-09-14 NaN NaN 0.137987 0.701110 1.737584 3.219656 5.283870
2025-09-21 NaN NaN 0.120607 0.681441 1.741980 3.274812 5.422242
2025-09-28 NaN NaN 0.126836 0.718874 1.839286 3.459145 5.728868
2025-10-05 NaN NaN 0.136175 0.764106 1.949480 3.661587 6.059301
2025-10-12 NaN NaN 0.142981 0.803101 2.049552 3.850054 6.371693